The AT&T Byron classic was the epitome of a roller coaster. The joy of PGA DFS when your lineups look dead on Thursday night until Tony Finau goes absolute ham on Friday morning to revive the core plays. That was the ultimate sweat. Not only did the core plays go off, we had 7 of our 9 sleepers make the cut for another profitable week. On to next week!
The players from the AT&T Byron Classic don’t have to travel far this week as the Dean & Deluca Invitational is held just 35 miles away in Fort Worth. This longstanding invitational has been held since 1946 with numerous sponsor changes along the way. Although this is only the second year Dean & Deluca is sponsoring the event, don’t be afraid to dig into course history as the Colonial Country Club isn’t going anywhere. An important feature to mention is that since this is an invitational tournament, the field is about 125 players. With the same cut line and less players in the field, there is a much higher percentage of golfers making the cut.
The Colonial Country Club is another Par 70 that comes in at 7,204 yards. This means that there are two less Par 5’s from your standard Par 72 course. The course is played on bentgrass greens so we can target the players that putt better on bentgrass. The fairways are narrow and the greens are small so accuracy will be key both off the tee and approaching the green.
The Colonial Country Club is best known for the 3-hole stretch called the “Horrible Horseshoe.” Holes 3-5 are by far the toughest stretch of golf on the course that features two par 4’s and a 247 yard Par 3. If you like to follow shot tracker during your golfer’s rounds, I would advise to maybe step away for a cup of coffee or beverage of choice during these three holes.
2016 Jordan Spieth
2015 Chris Kirk
2014 Adam Scott
2013 Boo Weekley
2012 Zach Johnson
2011 David Toms
2010 Zach Johnson
Well would you look at this? Wind in Texas. We will be monitoring the wind to see if there is any clear edge in tee times for Thursday and Friday. However, as we have seen the past 2 weekends, it is very difficult to predict what the weather will bring us. If it does look like an advantage to a wave we will be sure to relay the information on twitter.
SG: Tee to Green: Ball striking will be important this week. The fairways are tight and the greens are small. We want the golfers that are strong off the tee and dialed in on their approach shots. Around the green play will be relevant to limit the big numbers posted from missed greens.
Par 4 Scoring: Both of the Par 5’s on course play under par with limited eagle opportunities so I don’t believe there is much advantage in targeting the Par 5 Scorers as most of the golfers should be able to post birdies here. However, the Par 4’s are where we can gain an edge on the top golfers in this category. Several of the Par 4’s play over par (i.e. Horrible Horseshoe) so we want to target the guys playing par or better on these holes to gain strokes on the rest of the field.
Greens in Regulation %: With the greens on the smaller side, we want to target the players with the highest GIR%. This will help us find the players that are really dialed in with their approach shots. The more greens our players hit, the less we have to sweat.
Birdie or Better %: The winning score has posted at least 9 under par or better the last 5 years. However, this can be dependant on how the weather is for the week. We want those birdie makers to pad the stats for our lineups rather than playing par golf. The more scoring the better.
Jon Rahm ($11,800) – As long as Rahm is playing in a tournament, you plug him into your lineups. This is a first class golfer that is having an unbelievable year. If his third round 82 at THE PLAYERS scares people off of him, even better. Rahm ranks 2nd in SG: T2G and Par 4 Scoring, 4th in BoB%, and 14th in GIR%. Team #rahmGOAT is back in action this weekend. I am tempted to lock him in 100%.
Tony Finau ($8,700): Is the course played on Bermuda Greens? No. Okay, load up on Finau. As long as bermuda greens are out of play, Finau is “good enough” on the putting surface to string together some decent rounds. After a frustrating first round last week, Finau rebounded strong after giving me high blood pressure for a few hours watching him hack away on shot tracker. Finau ranks 4th in GIR% and SG:T2G, 7th in Par 4 Scoring, and 16th in BoB%. Keep loading up on Finau as he is striking the ball well as of late.
Jason Dufner ($9,000): Can I just copy and paste the article from last week? Dufner comes into the tournament in good recent form as well as having strong course history. Dufner has finished top 6 here three times in his last 5 tries. He also checks the box for us ranking 38th in SG:T2G, 5th in Par 4 Scoring and 32nd in BoB%. I will be using Dufner in both cash and gpp formats at this price point.
Adam Hadwin ($8,400) – Another mid-range player you can use to pay up for other golfers, Hadwin also comes in with great form and solid course history. Hadwin is 2/2 at Dean and Deluca Invitational with a 22nd and 5th. Hadwin also checks the box for us ranking 27th in SG:T2G, 28th in Par 4 Scoring, 33rd in BoB%, and 49th in GIR%.
Also Consider: Sergio Garcia, Kevin Kisner, Paul Casey, Marc Leishman, Charley Hoffman
Here is a list of GPP plays, or sleepers if you will, that could be lower owned and have some upside to them. You do not need much ownership on these players to be overweight the field.
- Kyle Stanley ($7,400)
- Lucas Glover ($7,500)
- Sung Kang ($7,400)
- Martin Laird ($6,600)
- Jhonnattan Vegas ($7,100)
- Nick Taylor ($7,300)
- Kevin Tway ($7,100)
- Danny Lee ($6,900)
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