The AT&T Byron classic was the epitome of a roller coaster. The joy of PGA DFS when your lineups look dead on Thursday night until Tony Finau goes absolute ham on Friday morning to revive the core plays. That was the ultimate sweat. The core went off for another profitable week. On to next week! Oh, and a congratulation is due to Roguegremlin for taking down the listener league last week. We will be tweeting out a link when the contest is open. Let’s fill it this week.
The players from the AT&T Byron Classic don’t have to travel far this week as the Dean & Deluca Invitational is held just 35 miles away in Fort Worth. This longstanding invitational has been held since 1946 with numerous sponsor changes along the way. Although this is only the second year Dean & Deluca is sponsoring the event, don’t be afraid to dig into course history as the Colonial Country Club isn’t going anywhere. An important feature to mention is that since this is an invitational tournament, the field is about 125 players. With the same cut line and less players in the field, there is a much higher percentage of golfers making the cut.
The Colonial Country Club is another Par 70 that comes in at 7,204 yards. This means that there are two less Par 5’s from your standard Par 72 course. The course is played on bentgrass greens so we can target the players that putt better on bentgrass. The fairways are narrow and the greens are small so accuracy will be key both off the tee and approaching the green.
The Colonial Country Club is best known for the 3-hole stretch called the “Horrible Horseshoe.” Holes 3-5 are by far the toughest stretch of golf on the course that features two par 4’s and a 247 yard Par 3. If you like to follow shot tracker during your golfer’s rounds, I would advise to maybe step away for a cup of coffee or beverage of choice during these three holes.
2016 Jordan Spieth
2015 Chris Kirk
2014 Adam Scott
2013 Boo Weekley
2012 Zach Johnson
2011 David Toms
2010 Zach Johnson
Well would you look at this? Wind in Texas. We will be monitoring the wind to see if there is any clear edge in tee times for Thursday and Friday. However, as we have seen the past 2 weekends, it is very difficult to predict what the weather will bring us. If it does look like an advantage to a wave we will be sure to relay the information on twitter.
SG: Tee to Green: Ball striking will be important this week. The fairways are tight and the greens are small. We want the golfers that are strong off the tee and dialed in on their approach shots. Around the green play will be relevant to limit the big numbers posted from missed greens.
Par 4 Scoring: Both of the Par 5’s on course play under par so I don’t believe there is much advantage in targeting the Par 5 Scorers as most of the golfers should be able to post birdies here. However, the Par 4’s are where we can gain an edge on the top golfers in this category. Several of the Par 4’s play over par (i.e. Horrible Horseshoe) so we want to target the guys playing par or better on these holes to gain strokes on the rest of the field.
Greens in Regulation %: With the greens on the smaller side, we want to target the players with the highest GIR%. This will help us find the players that are really dialed in with their approach shots. The more greens our players hit, the less we have to sweat.
Birdie or Better %: The winning score has posted at least 9 under par or better the last 5 years. However, this can be dependant on how the weather is for the week. We want those birdie makers to pad the stats for our lineups rather than playing par golf. The more scoring the better.
As those of you know from playing on FantasyDraft, the pricing is tight. And I mean real tight. The general strategy I use every week with great success is a balanced lineup. Even with one of your golfers not counting towards your final score, the tight pricing makes it very difficult to have a solid stars and scrubs lineup. It is better to give yourselves a chance for all seven players making the cut in case on flames out on the weekend. So let’s take a look at our top mid priced golfers:
Tony Finau ($16,200): Is the course played on Bermuda Greens? No. Okay, load up on Finau. As long as bermuda greens are out of play, Finau is “good enough” on the putting surface to string together some decent rounds. After a frustrating first round last week, Finau rebounded strong after giving me high blood pressure for a few hours watching him hack away on shot tracker. Finau ranks 4th in GIR% and SG:T2G, 7th in Par 4 Scoring, and 16th in BoB%. Keep loading up on Finau as he is striking the ball well as of late.
Jason Dufner ($16,700): Can I just copy and past the article from last week? Dufner comes into the tournament in good recent form as well as having strong course history. Dufner has finished top 6 here three times in his last 5 tries. He also checks the box for us ranking 38th in SG:T2G, 5th in Par 4 Scoring and 32nd in BoB%. I will be using Dufner in both cash and gpp formats at this price point.
Marc Leishman ($16,000): Leishman is another guy coming into the Dean & Deluca Invitational in good form. I love the direction where his game is heading and am not afraid to load up on him here. Leishman ranks 21st in Par 4 Scoring, 23rd in SG:T2G, 27th in BoB%, and 55th in GIR%. Use him while he is hot.
Adam Hadwin ($15,800): I have been using Hadwin quite a bit this year and he hasn’t let me down as he hasn’t missed a cut since last October. Hadwin has a strong balanced game and has a strong history here with a 22nd and a 5th. Hadwin ranks 27th in SG:T2G, 28th in Par 4 Scoring, 33rd in BoB%, and 49th in GIR%.
Here is a list of GPP plays, or sleepers if you will, that could be lower owned and have some upside to them. You do not need much ownership on these players to be overweight the field.
- Nick Taylor ($14,200)
- Lucas Glover ($14,400)
- Kyle Stanley ($15,200)
- Stewart Cink ($13,100)
- J.T. Poston ($12,600)
- Jhonnatan Vegas ($13,500)
- Martin Laird ($13,500)
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