2017 Memorial Tournament Draftkings Strategy

What a weekend for Team Thursday AM stack. If you watched our periscope on Wednesday night we had a few updates from our article as we noticed unfavorable weather conditions for the Thursday PM wave.  Therefore, we moved off of 95% of Thursday PM players that allowed us to avoid chalky Dufner and Perez.  Third profitable weekend in a row.  Let’s keep the streak going!

A quick note for any Weekend Golf players.  This is the first week we will be providing in-depth stats from Thursday-Friday rounds to help you build your weekend lineups.  For only $2.99 you can have concise data to help you analyze and make better lineups for Weekend Golf.

The Memorial Tournament brings us a solid field in which 9 of the top 12 world ranked golfers will be included in the field.  This tournament has been held at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio since 1976.   Muirfield Village Golf Club was designed by the one and only Jack Nicklaus. Growing up in greater Columbus, Nicklaus wanted to help give back to the city that helped him become the golfer/person he was.

If you played last week you would’ve assumed that the 6/6 would have been higher given the Dean & Deluca only had 125 players in the field with the same T70 cut line.  However, Dufner and Perez really brought that number down.  Similar to last week,  The Memorial Tournament is one of 5 tournaments on the PGA Tour awarded invitational status.  With only 120 golfers in play and T70 making it through to the weekend, 6/6 lineups “should” be high.  However, if the chalk busts, we saw what can happen.

Muirfield Village Golf Club is your standard Par 72 golf course at 7,392 yards with 4 par 5’s and 4 par 3’s with the remainder being Par 4’s.  It is important to note that the Par 5’s are all reachable in 2 by most golfers. The fairways are wide but you can not miss as the rough is very thick.  The premiere ball strikers have succeeded here and we will want to target the golfers that excel from the tee to green.  The greens are small and fast which will make the approach shot very important.  If you miss the greens, there are plenty of VERY difficult bunkers and thick rough that will make scrambling very important to avoid any high scores.

Past Winners

2016 William Mcgirt
2015 David Lingmerth
2014 Hideki Matsuyama
2013 Matt Kuchar
2012 Tiger Woods
2011 Steve Stricker
2010 Justin Rose

Weather

The weather looks absolutely perfect for Thursday.  Friday  there is a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms.  Stay tuned as we will provide updates if a certain wave lands favorable conditions.  We saw this last week and were able to capitalize.

Capture

Key Statistics

SG: Tee to Green: This is the most consistent statistic each week that we utilize to target the best ball strikers.  The fairways are on the wider side but the rough is very thick.  You do not want to be approaching the small and quick greens from the rough.  Without being able to spin the ball as much out of the rough, it will be tough to stick the greens from the rough.  As we said earlier, the small and quick greens will be very important to hit. We want the golfers that are strong off the tee and dialed in on their approach shots. Around the green play will also be relevant to limit the big numbers posted from missed greens.

Par 4 Scoring: The Par 4’s are where we can gain an edge targeting the top golfers in this category.  Several of the Par 4’s play over par so we want to target the guys playing par or better on these holes to gain strokes on the rest of the field.

Greens in Regulation %:  The greens and Muirfield Village Golf Club are on the smaller side and are quick.  We want to target the players with the highest GIR%.  This will help us find the players that are really dialed in with their approach shots.  The more greens our players hit, the less we have to sweat.

Scrambling: The greens are surrounded by thick rough and difficult bunkers.  In case our golfers miss the greens, we want to roster the ones that are able to avoid disaster.  I don’t want to see any spider webs on the shot tracker as seen in previous weeks by Keegan Bradley.

Birdie or Better %:  As always with daily fantasy scoring, the birdies and eagles are where we gain points.  We want to target the golfers with the highest BoB% as that is where you can really accumulate points.

Core Plays

Jon Rahm ($11,800) –  As long as Rahm is playing in a tournament, you plug him into your lineups.  This is a first class golfer that is having an unbelievable year. I will copy/paste this paragraph into our core plays as long as Rahm continues this streak. Rahm ranks 2nd in SG: T2G and Par 4 Scoring, 4th in BoB%, 12th in GIR%, and 14th in Scrambling. Team #rahmGOAT is back in action this weekend.

Adam Scott ($9,800) – Love the way Scott has been playing lately.  He comes into the Memorial Tournament with a top 10 at the Masters and PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP to go with a 4th place finish here last year.  Scott ranks 26th in SG:T2G, 14th in BoB%, 33rd in GIR%, and 37th in Par 4 Scoring. His game is trending in the right direction and hop on the train before it’s too late.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10,000) – Hideki is near the top of the charts in all categories we are targeting this week.  He also has a victory and and 4th place finish here in 2014 and 2015 to go with a missed cut last year.  Hideki ranks 2nd in Par 4 Scoring, 3rd in BoB%, 7th in SG:T2G and GIR%, and 18th in Scrambling. When a course requires the top ball strikers, you fit Hideki into your lineups.

Matt Kuchar ($9,400) – Yes, we understand that Kuchar isn’t going to load up the scorecard with birdies.  However, Kuchar is an absolute course horse here with 6 top 15’s in his last 7 tries.  This also compliments two straight top 15’s.  Someway Kuchar is going to find a way to backdoor a top 10 here.  Kuchar ranks 32nd in SG:T2G, 37th in Par 4 Scoring,  and 11th in Scrambling.  With both recent form and course history, there’s a lot to like here with Kuchar.

Also consider: Rickie Fowler, Emiliano Grillo, Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka

Lower Priced Plays:

Here is a list of the lower priced players (below $8,000) we like this week on Draftkings that will be worth rostering:

  • Tony Finau ($7,900)
  • Byeong Hun-An ($6,900)
  • Patrick Cantlay ($7,800)
  • Peter Uihlein ($6,800)
  • Billy Horschel ($6,700)
  • Marc Leishman ($6,900)
  • Bill Haas ($6,900)
  • Brendan Steele ($6,700)
  • Kevin Tway ($6,500)

Other DraftKings Misprices:

This is something new we wanted to include in this weeks article as we believe there are several misprices that we can capitalize on to fit in some of the higher priced players.  If you routinely visit our Player Model on the website, you know that we include tabs that compare Draftkings to FantasyDraft and Fanduel to exploit misprices.

  • Charl Schwartzl ($6,800) – Injury concern
  • Steve Stricker ($6,900)
  • Kevin Kisner ($7,600)
  • Justin Thomas ($7,600)
  • Phil Mickelson ($7,700)
  • Rafael Cabrera-Bello ($6,700)

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