First off, congrats to Brooks Koepka for winning his first major. After the turn there wasn’t a doubt in my mind that anyone was catching him as he was striking the ball so well. The DJ and Rahm fades turned out to be solid plays. However, many other studs missed the cut as well. It was a week where you needed to fade the $10,000 plus range with the exception of Fowler. Oh what could’ve been if Casey and Fowler didn’t falter on the weekend. On to the Travelers Championship.
This week takes us to TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut. The course comes in at 6,841 yards as a Par 70. Wait, is that a typo? Wasn’t Erin Hills 7,700 yards? This seems like your local country club yardage. Definitely one of the shorter courses on the PGA Tour, TPC River Highlands will create a fun birdie fest. With only 2 par 5’s on the course, it will be important for the players to take advantage of the Par 4’s. There is also a Par 4 coming in at 296 yards. This should be fun watching players take their 3 woods out to reach the green. The course went under a redesign back in the 80’s by none other than Pete Dye. There are plenty of bunkers surrounding the greens so hitting the greens will be important. There is also plenty of water on holes 15-17 that players will need to avoid. The greens are played on bentgrass greens and are relatively easy. This should help out the poor putters.
2016 Russell Knox
2015 Bubba Watson
2014 Kevin Streelman
2013 Ken Duke
2012 Marc Leishman
2011 Fredrik Jacobson
With the exception of a few storms, the weather looks to be okay as the wind will be low. There doesn’t appear to be any advantage in any of the tee times. However, this can change and we will be sure to keep you updated.
SG: Tee to Green: Ball striking will be important this week. With holes 15-17 having plenty of water, we want the golfers that are strong off the tee and dialed in on their approach shots to avoid any hazards. We also mentioned the number of sand traps on this course. We want the players that will be dialed in on their approach shots. Around the green play will be relevant to limit the big numbers posted from missed greens.
Par 4 Scoring: Both of the Par 5’s on course play under par so I don’t believe there is much advantage in targeting the Par 5 Scorers as most of the golfers should be able to post at least birdies here. However, the Par 4’s are where we can gain an edge on the top golfers in this category. These holes will be important to avoid any big numbers. Several other of the Par 4’s play over par so we want to target the guys playing par or better on these holes to gain strokes on the rest of the field.
Birdie or Better %: The winning score has posted at least 12 under par or better the last 5 years. We want those birdie makers to pad the stats for our lineups rather than playing par golf. The more scoring the better.
Greens in Regulation %: With the hazards surrounding many of the greens, we want to hit as many greens as possible. This will limit the need for our players to scramble to save par. The more greens our players hit, the less we have to sweat.
Cash Game Plays
We are going to mix it up here and see what everyone thinks about this new article. We will be featuring our favorite cash plays as well as our GPP pivots that we think will be low owned.
Byeong Hun An ($7,100) – Ben An misses one cut all year and he is priced below some questionable golfers. Ben An should be the first click on your cash lineup as I wouldn’t look much into last weeks play. The greens are relatively easy which should help him out as well. We are looking for cut makers and I don’t see any reason why he shouldn’t make the cut here. An ranks 15th in SG:T2G and 57th in Par 4 Scoring.
Charley Hoffman ($7,300) – Hoffman priced at 7.3k in this field is ABSURD. Ben An and Hoffman will be staples in my cash lineup. Hoffman ranks 36th in SG:T2G, 34th in BoB%, and 40th in Par 4 Scoring. This is simply a misprice and should be able to make it through the cut which is what you need in a cash lineup.
Brendan Steele ($9,000) – ALL HE DOES IS MAKE CUTS. Steele has been in almost every cash lineup this year for me. Even at 9k, Steele should be a lock in cash lineups. Coming off a great U.S. Open, Steele ranks 6th in Par 4 Scoring, 14th in BoB%, and 19th in SG:T2G.
Paul Casey ($9,700) – Our final cash game staple, Casey has been playing solid golf this year. If only he could’ve avoided the fescue on the weekend at Erin Hills. Casey ranks 5th in GIR%, 6th in Par 4 Scoring, and 13th in SG:T2G. With these core golfers in your cash lineups, it should be very simple to complete a successful lineup.
Trey Mullinax (6,500) – We talked earlier that this is going to be a birdie fest. Mullinax ranks 24th on tour in BoB% and also 21st in Par 4 scoring. He is rolling into TPC River Highlands with a T9 finish at the US Open and T18 at the St Jude. The former Bama product is playing great golf and I wouldn’t be shy to get some shares in your GPPs this week.
Lucas Glover (6,600) – I have been riding the Glove this year and it has paid dividends week to week. The stat machine is ranked 6th in Par 4 scoring, 7th in GIR%, 17th in SG:T2G and 51st in BoB%. With the flatter greens this week, I am less worried about Glover rolling the rock which is always his downfall.
David Lingmerth ($7,900) – In his last 6 events, Lingmerth has landed 4 top 25 finishes. In his last 5 tournaments he is ranked 8th in the field in SG: App, 10th in SG: T2G, 13th in BoB% and 15th in GIR%. He has been overlooked lately and I think the trend continues.
Bud Cauley ($7,400) – Bud has cooled off in his last 3 events and this is right when I want to get back on board. He is a scorer and this course does not present the dangers the last 3 events have played. Bud is ranked in the top 50 for SG, T2G, GIR% and Par 4 scoring on the season. And here is his rank in the field in the last 10 tournaments, 3rd SG: App, 3rd in GIR%, 5th in BoB% and 6th in SG:T2G. I will have some Bud exposure in my lineups and a nice cold one while enjoying the tournament this weekend. Cheers!