2017 Greenbrier Classic Draftkings Picks

Finally, stat GOAT Kyle Stanley pulls through and wins the Quicken Loans National.  It was nice to see the emotions following the tournament as it had been 5 years since his last win.  Hopefully he can continue this trend and finish the year strong.  It was also nice to see a loyal follower take down the $4 Fore for 10k.  Congrats to COLTSMITCH on the nice win!

On the The Greenbrier Classic.  For those of you that are new to DFS Golf, or golf in general, The Greenbrier Classic was cancelled last year due to the tragic floods that came through the area.  I am thoroughly amazed that they were able to reconstruct The Old White TPC to PGA Tour standards in only a year.  The course plays at a par 70 coming in around 7,300 yards.  The architects deemed restoration as not a logical term for the fix as they had to completely reconstruct the course.

Here are a few of the changes that were implemented with the reconstruction process of The Old White TPC.  Slopes were removed from the greens to allow for increased speeds.  The fairway rough has grown much thicker putting an emphasis on hitting fairways.  The bunker locations were changed to reflect better positioning to place an emphasis on accuracy into the greens.  Swan Lake was moved to the right side of hole 16 rather than in front of the fairway.  This will make the hole more difficult as players will need to navigate the hole to avoid water.  The course will play shorter as the balls will run in the fairway due to clean fairways.  However, this will lead to numerous balls running into the thick rough further putting an emphasis on accuracy.  The greens will also be very firm so players will need to stick their approach shots.

Past Winners

2016 Cancelled due to flooding
2015 Danny Lee
2014 Angel Cabrera
2013 Jonas Blixt
2012 Ted Potter, Jr.
2011 Scott Stallings

Weather

As of Monday, different reports look like there could be some difficult golfing weather this weekend.  Weather.com has rain predicted for Thurs PM and Friday where Windfinder has strong wind gusts predicted for Friday.  We will monitor and update with any favortable tee waves on Thursday/Friday.

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Key Statistics

SG: Tee to Green: This is the most consistent statistic each week that we utilize to target the best ball strikers. With the thick rough and bunker placements from the reconstruction, we want the golfers that are going to hit the fairways to give themselves a nice approach shot. It is important that our players are dialed in from their tee shot to the green to avoid having to scramble too often.

Par 4 Scoring: With 12 Par 4’s on the course and only 2 Par 5’s, we want the players that can gain an edge on the Par 4’s.  These holes will be important to avoid any big numbers. This will allow us to gain strokes on the field by playing the Par 4’s well.

Greens in Regulation %:  We want to target the players with the highest GIR%.  This will help us find the players that are really dialed in with their approach shots.  The more greens our players hit, the less we have to sweat.

Birdie or Better %:  We want those birdie makers to pad the stats for our lineups rather than playing par golf.  The more scoring the better.  It is difficult to predict what the winning score will be with the reconstruction of the course.  However, this course has historically had scores finish in the teens under par.

Cash Game Plays

Tony Finau ($9,100) – How did Finau’s price not move from last week?  Finau is playing excellent golf and his ball striking is on FIRE.  Finau ranks 8th in SG: T2G, 6th in GIR%, 10th in BoB%, and 14th in Par 4 Scoring.  He can be tilting to follow live so I don’t recommend watching every shot.  However, at this price Finau can allow you to avoid having to punt in cash games.

Danny Lee ($9,500) – A former winner at this event, Danny Lee is riding a hot streak.  Having made 6 cuts in a row with 3 top 10’s in that time, ride the wave.  In his last 24 rounds, Lee is 15th in SG:T2G, 8th in SG: App, 1st in GIR Gained, and 2nd in Good Drive %.

Stewart Cink ($6,900) – Is this price for real?  Cink is making cuts week in and week out.  I will gladly play him in cash at this price. Cink has made 4 cuts in a row with 2 top 10’s in that stretch.  At this price, all you need him to do is make the cut.  Cink ranks 8th in Par 4 scoring, 13th in GIR%, 24th in BoB%, and 32nd in SG:T2G.

Kevin Streelman ($8,900) – Streelman has strung together some nice tournaments.  He has 4 straight top 20’s so he comes into the Greenbrier Classic in good form.  In his last 24 rounds, Streelman ranks 24th in SG: T2G, 32nd in Par 4 Scoring 450-500 and 6th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450.

Also Consider:  Sung Kang, Nick Taylor, Bill Haas, Phil Mickelson

GPP Pivots

Gary Woodland ($7,500) – Coming off the birth of his child, look for Gary to take advantage of these wider fairways. Ranks 5th last 24 rounds in SG T2G.

Xander Schauffele ($7,900) – “X Man” has been our guy the last month and we will continue to ride the wave this week at a lower salary again. Ranks 5th SG OTT, 16th in total SG and 10th in SG in GIR in his last 24 rounds.

Chad Campbell ($6,900) – Ranks 10th in SG T2G last 24 rounds. He finished 10th at St Jude, 13th at Byron Nelson and 34th at Colonial in the past month.

Ben Martin ($7,300) – Ranks 8th overall in total SG and 11th in Approach and 22nd T2G. He is coming off a 5th place finish last weekend at Quicken Loans and made the last 6 cuts.

Nick Watney ($8,200) – Ranks top 25 in total SG, OTT and approach his last 24 rounds. Since his injury earlier this year, Watney is rounding into form making the past 6 cuts.

Jason Kokrak ($8,700) – Ranks 9th SG OTT and 13th SG T2G over last 24 rounds. He has 3 top 30 finishes in the last month. With his price increase on DraftKings he will be a solid pivot in the $8k range.

Seamus Power ($6,400) – Ranks 6th SG T2G in last 24 rounds. He has made the last 5 of 6 cuts.

Also consider:  Curtis Luck, Scott Brown, Sam Saunders


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