2017 The Open Draftkings Preview & Picks

Congratulations to Bryson Dechambeau on his first PGA victory clinching the charter flight to The Open.  Another profitable week for Daily Fantasy Press and it’s always good to see our followers crush.  Thankfully I avoided Zach Johnson’s recent statistics and loaded up since he is the ultimate course horse. Note for next year everyone, play ZJ at the John Deere Classic no matter what.  Oh, and add Stricker to that list as well.

Enough about last week.  This weekend brings us the third major of the year where we can all set our alarms (or stay up all night) watching golf.  I know with our second child being only 2 weeks old, I will gladly take the night shift this weekend.  The Open will be held at Royal Birkdale in Southport, England.  If you want to take a walk down history lane, the winds were howling in 2008 when The Open was last held here.  Padraig Harrington won this event with a score of +3.  In fact, only 4 people cracked +10.  The DFS scores will be low if the wind is prevalent.  The course plays at a Par 70 coming in at just about 7,150 yards.  It may not be long, but there are hazards to avoid and fairways to be hit.  The fairways and greens are very important to hit as you do not want to be stuck in the Royal Birkdale Bunkers (go follow them on Twitter) where it may take a few shots to get out.  The wind is also a large defense for this course since they removed thousands of trees back in 1998.  This was seen in 2008 when players were losing there shorts.  Not really, but shooting 20 over par would send me to the local pub.  For a course preview, watch our video below.  The GPP picks are also included in the video but I will list them below.

Previous Winners

2016 Henrik Stenson
2015 Zach Johnson
2014 Rory McIlroy
2013 Phil Mickelson
2012 Ernie Els
2011 Darren Clark
2010 Louis Oosthuizen

2008 at Royal Birkdale – Padraig Harringon

Weather Forecast

The weather is very important at The Open as the course is on the coast of the Irish Sea and the wind can howl.  The one caveat with this is that the weather could be unexpected.  I would recommend if you are stacking one tee wave that it makes sense to also stack the opposite wave in case the forecasts shift.  Currently, the wind looks manageable for The Open at mid to upper teens with gusts in the 20’s.  Refresh, refresh, refresh this link at Windfinder below all the way up to lineup lock.  We will update the article throughout if any considerable changes arise.

https://www.windfinder.com/forecast/ainsdale_beach

Key Statistics

  • SG: T2G
  • GIR %
  • SG: App
  • Scrambling
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Good Drive %

Cash Game Core

Note: All stats are based off of last 24 rounds from FantasyNational.com.  Go check them out from our friend, “The Moose.”

Rickie Fowler ($9,200) – Fowler has made the cut in 6/7 tries at The Open with two top 5’s in that timeframe.  Fowler is near the top ranks on Links’ courses.  He is also ranked 16th in SG: Approach, 20th in SG: T2G, 9th in GIR, and 7th in bogeys avoided.  Insert into lineups.

Adam Scott ($8,500) – Scott is another golfer with solid links course history.  This is highlighted by his finishes at The Open.  He hasn’t missed a cut at The Open since 2009 with 4 top 10’s in the last 5 years.  Scott ranks 19th in SG: App, 21st in SG:T2G, 28th in Bogeys Avoided,  and 31st in GIR.  Scott excels on Links’ courses so load up.

Paul Casey ($8,100) – Casey placed 7th here at Royal Birkdale in 2008.  However, I wouldn’t put much weight into that since it was so long ago.  Casey is playing excellent golf this year and we have been playing him every week and will not stop here. Casey ranks 6th in SG:Approach, 13th in SG:T2G, 4th in GIR, 17th in Fairways Gained, and 5th in Bogey Avoidance.

Matt Kuchar ($7,200) – Kuchar has 5 top 20’s in a row.  He also had a solid weekend at the Scottish Open headed into The Open.  Kuchar has 5 straight Open cuts made.  He ranks 9th in Bogey Avoidance, 23rd in SG: Approach, 12th in SG:T2G,  and 22nd in SG: Around the Green.  This is too low of a price for how Kuchar has been playing.

Also Consider: Phil Mickelson, Louis Oosthuizen, Marc Leishman

GPP Plays

Pat Perez ($6,900) – I really like Perez around the greens. Can be a little wild off the tee but like the US Open, if you miss fairways its better to miss in the gallery. Remember this is a GPP, so tread lightly.

Tony Finau ($6,800) – Milton got a late invite into the Open and it is well deserved. One of the best ball strikers with distance should give him some birdie opportunities throughout the week.

Ross Fisher ($6,700) – Euro Tour player that is very good off the tee. He finished 3rd & 6th at both WGC events this year and 41st at the Masters.

Brian Harmon ($6,600) – Harmon nearly won his first Major at the US Open this year to add to his victory earlier this year at Wells. I love his short game that is required this week at Royal Birkdale.

Gary Woodland ($6,800) – Woodland finished T12 at the Open a year ago in his first appearance. He has a very solid overall tee to around the green game, the putting is his downfall but with easier greens this week I am not weighting putting as heavily.

Ryan Fox ($6,600) – Fox has been playing great recently with 3 top 10 finishes in his last 3 Euro Tour events. Fox ranks 9th in GIR% and 32nd in Par 4 scoring on Euro Tour.

Deep GPP Plays: Joost Luiten, Julian Suri, Thorbjorn Olesen,Dylan Frittelli

Listen to the podcast below for more plays and strategy:

 

 

 


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