What a swing of events. The last bogey on 18 by Matsuyama put my cash lineup inside the money line to yet another profitable week. This is the last full field cut tournament in the season. The Fedex playoffs begin next week with a solid field of 125 players with a cut at T70 and ties. After that, however, the field drops down and we will begin to lose our edge in cash games of picking guys that make it through the cut.
We will keep this short and sweet this week. The Wyndham Championship is held at the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. The course plays at a Par 70 coming in at just around 7,125 yards. Back in 2012 the greens were changed from bentgrass to bermuda so I wouldn’t look at course history much past that. Eight of the Par 4’s come in between 400-450 yards which will be a key statistic we can target. This is quite the change from Quail Hollow last week. The winning score typically comes in the mid to upper teens under par. This will make birdies or better crucial to keep up with the field. The Par 5’s are reachable so we should see some eagle looks from the field.
It is crucial to note that this is the last event for players to move up into the top 125 rankings to qualify for the Fedex Cup playoffs that begins next week.
2016 Si Woo Kim
2015 Davis Love III
2014 Camilo Villegas
2013 Patrick Reed
2012 Sergio Garcia
2011 Webb Simpson
As of Monday, there is only a 40% of AM storms on Thursday with minimal wind. At the current moment it does not look like there will be an edge in tee times. However, it will be hot again in North Carolina with highs approaching the low 90’s.
These are the percentage weights I will be applying to my custom model over at Fantasynational.com.
- SG: T2G (30%)
- GIR% (20%)
- Par 4 Scoring (20%)
- Birdies or Better % (15%)
- Scrambling (10%)
- SG: Putting (5%)
We are going to do something a little different this week. I will not be playing many cash games this week as the players I am targeting are not necessarily “safe” plays for double ups. However, here are the players we will have higher exposure to. We will then lay out our GPP pivots below.
Byeong Hun-An ($8,900) – Ben An makes it back into the core with his solid outing last week at Quail Hollow. In his last 24 rounds, Ben An is atop the model this week. He finished 18th here in 2015. Ben An ranks 4th in Par 4 Scoring, 6th in SG: T2G, 11th in GIR%, and 12th in BoB% in his last 24 rounds.
James Hahn ($9,000) – Hahn is another guy that is ranked near the top of our model. If you haven’t noticed, the strategy is a balanced approach this week. Hahn ranks 6th in Par 4 Scoring, 7th in Scrambling, 15th in BoB%, and 21st in SG: T2G.
Kevin Streelman ($8,300) – The picks aren’t going to be pretty in a weak field. However, Streelman has been playing solid golf. Streelman ranks 12th in Par 4 Scoring, 23rd in SG:T2G and Scrambling, and 24th in BoB%.
Chad Campbell ($7,900) – Campbell has been playing solid golf and making cuts. Continue to ride the form until it loses steam. Campbell ranks 7th in GIR%, 8th in Par 4 Scoring, 20th in BoB% and 34th in SG:T2G.
Also Consider: Chez Reavie, Lucas Glover, Bud Cauley
- Ben Martin ($8,800)
- Jason Kokrak ($7,300)
- Danny Lee ($8,700)
- Daniel Summerhays ($7,100)
- Chesson Hadley ($7,900)
- Kevin Na ($7,500)