Week 4 Player Target Report

QUARTERBACKS

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Tom Brady ($8,000) – We saw what Brees just did to Carolina.  Now put a better offense at home against this same defense.  With the variety of weapons in this offense, Brady is showing that he is matchup proof and still has those high ceiling games.   I will have plenty of Brady this week.  It’s just a matter of who are the TD’s going to go to.

Also consider:

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Phillip Rivers ($6,300) – This is a GPP play only as you never know if you are getting the 3 TD or 3 INT rivers.  Playing at home against a weak secondary that Eli Manning (yes Eli Manning) just shredded, Rivers is in a prime spot.  I love pairing Rivers with Allen/Williams/Tbenj in GPPs.

Carson Palmer ($6,100) Carson Palmer has risen.  He is back. I wish he was on the main slate last week as he was also in a good spot last week.  Without an established running game, the Cardinals will need to take it to the air.  Palmer has attempted 48 passes in 2/3 games.  Get on Palmer before his age starts to show as we saw what Goff was able to do to this 49ers defense.

Also Consider: Marcus Mariota, Dak Prescott, Eli Manning

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Trevor Siemian ($5,200) – This price is simply too cheap for a QB playing the Oakland secondary.  Although Siemian disappointed last week, this is a bounce back spot for him.  The price savings you get by pairing Siemian with one of Sanders/ DT this week allows you to pay up in other spots.  Playing at home helps out as well.

Also Consider: Jared Goff, Deshaun Watson

Late Week Additions: 

Running Backs

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Leveon Bell ($8,700) – We are now entering Bell’s 4th preseason game and he is trending in the right direction as we head into the regular season.  All jokes aside, Bell is trending in the right direction.  Although the matchup isn’t the prettiest on paper, Bell is getting into midseason form and has the usage and ceiling we want in GPPs.  Have to load up on Bell before the price jumps 1k in a few weeks.  I will likely pay down at RB in cash but this is a great GPP spot as the 40 point week is coming.

Ezekiel Elliott ($8,200) – The Rams have gotten gashed on the ground this year and Elliott should continue this trend.  Elliott is another guy that has that breakout game coming.  The Rams have allowed the 4th most rushing yards and the Cowboys should be playing with a favorable game script playing as 7.5 home favorites.

Also Consider: Lesean McCoy (GPP only)

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Dalvin Cook ($6,500) As a lifelong Minnesota fan, this young man has me thinking back to when AP first started out in the league.  Cook’s cuts look very impressive for a rookie and his ability to break tackles and get those extra yards are huge for Minnesota.  I also like Minnesota’s ability to stretch the field with the passing attack to prevent teams from stacking the box like the previous years.  Cook’s activity in the passing game last week also leads me to some optimism.  At 6,500, feel free to load up on Cook in GPP and Cash games.

Joe Mixon ($5,700) – Under Bill Lazor’s helm last week, we saw how the new weapon was unleashed.  Mixon is trending as the clear favorite in the Bengals backfield and want to jump on before he is priced 1k higher and at 10% higher ownership.  His passing game threat is also appealing on a PPR site.  I want to use as much Mixon as possible before the rest of the crowd joins in.

Also Consider: Christian McCaffrey, CJ Anderson, Leonard Fournette

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Bilal Powell ($4,600) – If Forte is forced to miss some time, Powell jumps into the #1 back at a very discounted price against a Jaguars rushing defense ranking near the bottom of the league.  I will take this guaranteed volume ONLY if Forte misses the game.  We saw how good Powell was at the end of last year and I was waiting for the game Forte misses to unleash Powell.

Jacquizz Rodgers ($4,400) – Rodgers is going to go under the radar this week despite being the lead back before the hamster returns next week.  He also faces a team letting up the most rush yards ranking in the bottom third in rushing DVOA.  His tough matchup last week will keep those box score chasers away.  At his price and volume I will jump back on for one more week.

Late Week Additions:  DUKE JOHNSON

Wide Receivers

The High-End Model ($7000+)

A.J. Green ($8,600) – Did you guys see what Brissett and Hilton were able to do against these Browns?  The Browns have allowed monster games to Brown and Hilton.  With Green the focal point of this offense, he should see plenty of opportunities like he did in a similar spot to last week.  I will go right back to the well with Green this week.

Keenan Allen ($7,200) – Allen disappointed many people last week.  However, he still had 9 targets and is averaging 9.67 targets per game.  This is a good bounceback spot for Allen at reduced ownership.  With 10 targets, Allen could have a monster game if he finds the end zone as well.  A Rivers-Allen pairing in GPPs should have relatively low ownership after disappointing last week.

Also consider: Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, Stefon Diggs

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

DeAndre Hopkins ($6,400) – Hopkins is gobbling up targets this year.  This price range is going to be where most of my exposure goes for WR.  Hopkins is averaging an insane 12.33 targets per game.  Granted they aren’t the most efficient targets, this is a good matchup to get Watson and Hopkins on the same page.

Demaryius Thomas ($6,300) / Emmanuel Sanders ($6,100) – We know where the targets are going in this DEN offense.  We also know that this is a beautiful matchup for the DEN passing game to bounce back.  Even with Siemian struggling last week, Sanders and Thomas still put up respective numbers.  Both of these WR are in play again this week.

Adam Thielen ($5,800) – With Slay likely to be on Diggs (Diggs is still in play), Thielen should see his usualy 8 targets against the Lions.  The Vikings under Schurmur have turned into a more pass heavy plan which revolves around Diggs and Thielen.  At 5.8k, I will have plenty of thielen.

Also consider: Dez Bryant

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

There are plenty of Punts I like in the sub 5,500 range. Since I don’t see any cleary standouts that I want significant (>30% ownership), here are my favorite punts in the range:

Sterling Shepard (5,000)

Rishard Matthews (4,900) – ***LOVE THIS PLAY WITH DAVIS OUT***

Allen Hurns ($4,700)

Marqise Lee ($4,500)

Tyrelle “GAZELLE” Williams ($4,400)

Jaron Brown ($4,000)

Travis Benjamin ($3,900)

Others to consider:

Late Week Additions:  Larry Fitzgerald, GOLDEN TATE

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz ($6,300) – Draftkings has done it’s part and priced Ertz up into Gronkowski range.  I hope this suppresses ownership as Ertz is in another great spot.  With Heyward likely to shadow Jeffery, passes will be funneled to Ertz.  Ertz is heavily involved in this offense averaging 9.3 targets a game.  His ownership should decrease with his price shooting up but this is a solid contrarian roster construction move.

Cameron Brate ($3,800) – How do you beat the Giants secondary?  By utilizing the TE.  It was nice to see Brate catch all 4 of his targets last week.  With Jenkins on Evans, Winston should increase targets funneled to Brate.  I will continue following the trend by attacking the Giants with the TE position.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins ($3,000) – This is just a smash spot for ASJ coming back. He had over 25% of the Jets targets last week. The Jets WR are going to be locked down outside with Ramsey and Bouye, so this will open up an opportunity for ASJ. Get on him before this price hikes with popularity.

Also consider: Evan Engram**** (Increased exposure with TB news)

Late Week Additions: 

Defense

Here are our favorite Defenses in play this weekend:

Jaguars ($3,600)

Steelers ($3,500)

Bengals ($3,500)

Broncos ($3,300)

Vikings ($3,100)


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