Week 5 Player Target Report

QUARTERBACKS

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Aaron Rodgers ($8100)  – So the Packers are not left with much in the backfield after TyMont went down last week so the already thin Packers offense is going to have no chance but throw against Dallas. This game has the highest over/under set at 53 currently, and Rodgers has one, if not, the highest ceilings this week. I could see Rodgers easily throwing for 50 attempts this game. Jordy has been his favorite red zone target this year with 5 TDs, and with Adams getting knocked out last week this is going to funnel targets to Jordy & Cobb.  Rodgers is going to be a popular option but you have to get creative with the rest of your lineup.

Also consider: Russell Wilson

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Carson Palmer ($5,900) – The Cardinals have absolutely zero run game leading to palmer throwing north of 48 times in 3/4 games.  That is insane.  I don’t see this trend changing with Philly’s run defense.  The Eagles have also allowed 285 passing yards per game.  The cardinals will need to attack them through the air.  Palmer is the early candidate for my cash games, especially with all of his targets healthy.

Also Consider: Dak Prescott, Jacoby Brissett (GPP ONLY)

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Jay Cutler ($5,200) – Oh man, this does not feel good at all writing his name.  There is not much down here that I will have heavy exposure too.  However, we saw how bad Tenn’s secondary is last week as they got absolutely torched by the Texans.  This is a GPP play only as I don’t think many people will want to click his name.  Cutler is playing for his job as there are rumors that Moore is knocking at the door (no rhyme intended). I will take some shots at Cutler – Parker or Landry stacks in large field GPPs.

Also Consider: Josh McCown, Brian Hoyer

Late Week Additions: 

Running Backs

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Leveon Bell ($9500) – Le’veon is coming off his best week yet and had 39 touches in this game amounting for 144 yards on the ground and 42 through the air with 2 TDs. In week 5 Leveon gets the pleasure of dealing with the Jaguars run funnel due to their outstanding cornerback plays. Teams have gouged the Jags up the middle as we saw last week in the Jets RBs putting up 256 yards on the ground. Take the price increase for Leveon and move on.

Todd Gurley ($8000) – I really like Gurley this week for GPPs and larger field tournaments because a lot of people will not want to roster Gurley taking on the Seahawks. Coming into the season I thought the Seahawks were going to be solid against the run but that has not been the case. Hyde and Demarco both put up over 100 yards on the Seahawks early this season and Gurley gets the added bonus of not having this game at CenturyLink where the Seattle plays much better. Gurley has average over 30 touches the last 2 games and added 2 TDs rushing and 2 TDs receiving. I like to see the targets out of the backfield which helps elevate his floor.

Also Consider: Ezekiel Elliott

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Melvin Gordon ($6000) – Melvin faces the New York Giants who rank 31st DVOA against the run this year. Gordon is becoming the squeaky wheel and I think he gets volume this week in a great spot. We will continue to monitor his health as the week goes on also.

Also Consider: Bilal Powell

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Aaron Jones ($5100) – Jones was a stud at UTEP. Dallas has also given up some big games to RBs this season. It’s looking early on as TyMont won’t be ready to return for Sunday. Jones showed to be productive in the small opportunity he had against the Bears – he had 13 carries for 49 yards and a score.  If TyMont is confirmed out, you are getting a featured back at $5,100 in the highest over/under of the slate.  Take the savings and move on.

Duke Johnson ($4900) –  Duke Johnson had a great game against the Bengals in Week 4. He carried the ball four times for 13 yards and a touchdown while adding nine catches for 47 yards through the air.  While Johnson failed to break off any big plays, he was clearly the Browns’ best offensive player for the second week in a row. While he still plays behind “starter” Isaiah Crowell, Johnson is the Cleveland running back to own going forward.

Also Consider: Andre Ellington

Late Week Additions:  

Wide Receivers

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Jordy Nelson ($8,100) – I will be trying to get as many pieces of the DAL-GB game as possible.  Nelson has been Rodger’s favorite red zone target and I can see this streak continuing this week.  With TyMont out and possibly Adams (still in concussion protocol as I write) there could be only a few mouths to feed.  I will try to fit as many Nelson shares as I can.

Also consider:

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Dez Bryant ($6500) – I think week 5 is his coming out party for the 2017 season. Dez saw 13 targets last week against the Rams and he gets an ideal matchup vs a weak Packers secondary.  Dak has targeted Dez 6 times in the red zone this year in which he has brought in 2 TDs. I think this game shoots out against the Packers so I am looking to fit Dez in my lineups with Rodgers & company coming back.

TY Hilton ($6000)  – This might be my favorite play of the week, TY Hilton on turf against the 49ers. Hilton is going to be lining up opposite to Rashard Robinson who is graded out as one of the worst CBs on PFF. Just this season Hilton has 11 receptions on 202 yards at home vs only 6 catches for 87 yards on the road. I am excited for this matchup TY has this week and he shouldn’t be chalk.

Randall Cobb ($6,700) – Cobb will likely end up on my cash lineup, especially if Adams is confirmed out.  When players go down, Cobb typically steps up.  Pairing up Bryant and Cobb in cash games gives you cheaper exposure to this potential shootout.  The 4 targets last week was an anomaly as he should return to his typical 7-8 targets.

Also consider: Pierre Garcon, Davante Parker, Jarvis Landry

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Sterling Shepard ($5200) – Shepard has looked good this season and showing off his speed in week 3 taking a slant route 77 yards to the house, something very familiar we have seen with Odell. The Giants face the Chargers this week and while lock down corner Casey Hayward is going to be on ODB, this is going to give Shepard some more opportunities. Shepard has brought in 21 of 26 targets this year, being a very reliable option for Eli.

Jaron Brown ($4500) – Brown quietly has seen 33 targets this (Brown has seen more targets than guys like DT, Julio, Mike Evans). Brown caught 8 passes for 105 yards. This week he faces the pass forgiving Eagles defense.

Also Consider: Tyrell Williams

Late Week Additions:  

Tight Ends

Austin Steferian-Jenkins ($3500) – ASJ now has 2 weeks under him since returning from suspension and he has seen 10 targets. This week the Jets face the lowly Browns who just gave up 2 TDs to the Bengals back up TE Tyler Kroft. ASJ looks to be in shape and I think he is given plenty of looks this week at a cheap pricetag.

Charles Clay ($4800) – Jordan Matthews is going to be missing some time for the Bills which opens up even more opportunity for Clay. Clay has already seen 24% of the market share for targets on the Bills. The Bills face the Bengals who actually have contained tight ends this season but I still think Clay has upside with Matthews going down.

Evan Engram ($4000) – Engram is second on the Giants in targets this year behind Odell. With Casey Hayward on ODB, Engram will become the safety valve for Eli this week.

Also consider:

Late Week Additions: 

Defense

Here are our favorite Defenses in play this weekend:

Steelers ($3,900)

Bills ($2,600)

 

 


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