Week 15 Player Targets

QUARTERBACKS

The High-End Model ($6500+)

Tom Brady ($7,600) – Brady and company had a rough Monday night against the Dolphins, but the Patriots are a much different team with Gronk. Gronk will return after his 1 game suspension and this week they match up against the Steelers who have been giving up big games to opposing QBs. The vegas total is at 54 points, so expect there to be alot of passing attempts for Brady.

Russell Wilson ($7,300) – Russ is accounting for mroe than 83% of the Seahawks offense this season in terms of yardage. He has a very high floor and ceiling, and this week the Seahawks face off against the Rams. The vegas total is currently at 47.5 points. I really like stacking Baldwin with Russ as he has been quiet lately but gets a great matchup against the Rams inside.

Aaron Rodgers ($6,800) – A-Rod is back after suffering a collarbone injury in week 6 against the Vikings. The Packers play against Carolina where I expect alot and back and forth play. Jordy Nelson has really seen a decline in production ever since his injury, and has not been able to get going with Hundley. Draftkings priced Jordy up to $6,300, but he is still not priced where he should be. Stack Rodgers with Jordy this week and take advantage while people wait a week to see how he performs. In 2013, Rodgers came back from a shoulder injury and threw for over 300 yards to get the Packers in the playoffs.

Also consider:

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6400)

Cam Newton ($6,400) – This is my favorite QB this week now that Rodgers is playing for Green Bay. The vegas total has risen 3 points since the lines opened at 44 points. Cam and Funchess have been incredible this year with the departure to KBenj, posting at least 13.6 Draftkings points in each of his last 6 games. The Packers rank 16th DVOA against the pass, but they lost Kevin King to IR, their top cover cornerback.

Blake Bortles ($5,700) – There aren’t many cheap QBs to love when looking for streamers.  However, Houston has been a defense I have been targeting when choosing quarterbacks and it has worked out quite well.  Houston isn’t that scary defense we used to know.  Over his last 3 games, Bortles has quietly put up over 18 points in each of those games.  I will go back to my Bortles – Dede stack.

Also Consider:

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Nick Foles  ($5,500) – Foles isn’t as bad as everyone thinks.  There are plenty of weapons in this Eagles offense that has been explosive this year.  My one concern is that the o-line has been abysmal over the past few weeks which doesn’t bode well for Foles.  However, if digging for value in QBs, Foles is a decent option.

Also Consider:

Late Week Additions: 

Running Backs

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Le’Veon Bell ($9,300) – There is plenty to love in the Running back department this week and it is going to be tough limiting the player pool.  Bell is heating up and is being heavily utilized in the passing game.  I expect this to be a high scoring affair and Bell should be the center of the Steelers’ attack.  Averaging over 10 targets per game over the past 4 weeks to go along with 15+ carries, the $9,300 price tag shouldn’t scare you away.  Throw in the fact that NE ranks dead last in DVOA against the rush, this is shaping up for a massive game.

Todd Gurley ($8,300) – Many will look at Gurley’s last outing versus Seattle and shy away.   Keep in mind that was before Sea’s defensive players started dropping like flies.  Gurley receives an absurd amount of touches within the 5 yard line which absolutely increases his ceiling.  I hope that people get scared off of his first matchup with Seattle and we can get Gurley at a reduced ownership.

Also Consider:

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Kenyan Drake ($5,800) – Many are calling Gase a genius now for letting Ajayi go.  Drake has been playing incredible these past few weeks and gets an amazing matchup against Buf (24th DVOA against the rush).  For mid price you get a running back receiving 25+ carries a game and 5+ targets.  I will take the volume at a reduced price.

Also Consider:

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Alex Collins ($5,500) – Cleveland’s run D is pretty stout.  However, that doesn’t mean running backs can’t have monster games against them (i.e. Jamaal Williams).  Collins has shown that he can break free for long runs and catches. Baltimore should be able to get out to an early lead and ride Collins to victory.  With not much to love for value, Collins makes for a decent cheaper option.

Also Consider:

Late Week Additions:  Jay Ajayi, Carlos Hyde, Mike Davis, Samajie Perine

Wide Receivers

The High-End Model ($7000+)

Antonio Brown ($9,100) – The Killer Bee onslaught is on fire.  The Steelers have been passing at an insane rate lately as their defense can’t stop opposing offenses.  This game could easily become a shootout for the AFC regular season title and I want as many pieces in this game as I can afford.  Brown has received an average of 17 targets the last 2 weeks.  I will try to force a Ben – Bell – Brown stack in a few lineups.

Michael Thomas ($7,400) – Last week we finally saw the breakout game from Thomas that we have been waiting for.  I would’ve loved Thomas even more had McCown not gone down for the season as the Saints may abandon the passing game if they get a sizeable lead.  However, Thomas is decently priced and has the ceiling you need to take down a GPP.

Also consider:

Mid-sized Pricing, High Ceilings ($5500-$6900)

Devin Funchess ($6,600) – Funchess gets a dream matchup.  He played fairly well against a stingy MIN defense even seeing Rhodes closed for most of the game.  Now he gets a weak secondary that he should be able to take advantage of.  Funchess has taken over since KBenj left and I will continue to roster him as long as his price stays where it is at.

Jordy Nelson ($6,300) – Rodgers is back.  Do I need to write anything else?  The Packers’ season is on the line and they need to win out to give themselves a chance.  This means that they can’t ease Rodgers back in.  Nelson has been terrible with Hundley under center.  However, we know the connection Nelson and Rodgers have and hopefully we can get them at a reduced ownership.

Robert Woods ($5,700) – Similar to Gurley’s situation, the Seahawks defense isn’t as strong as it was in the start of the season due to injuries.  Woods is in line to return this week.  Prior to injury, Woods was Goff’s primary target and should step right back in.  He took part in warmups last week which is a good sign that he will be ready to go this week.  Woods offers a nice savings with plenty of upside.

Also consider:

Hopefully We Can Use this Lemon to Make Lemonade (<$5500)

Dede Westbrook ($5,100) – Hurns missed practice on Wednesday as I write this.  With Hurns out, Westbrook has stepped in as Jax WR1 in that timeframe.  A Bortles – Westbrook stack against a bad Houston defense gives you enormous upside at a reduced price.  This is similar to my primary QB-WR combo last week in Jimmy G and Goodwin.  I will continue to pick on the Hou passing defense.

Also Consider: Nelson Agholor

Late Week Additions: Adam Thielen

Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski ($7,300) – We saw last week how important Gronk is to this offense.  Brady should bounce back in what will likely be an offensive shootout.  Gronk will be hungry after his suspension and he will be fed.  I am not liking the value at the tight end position this week so it makes sense to spend up here.

Zach Ertz – ($6,000) – Ertz is finally out of the concussion protocol and ready to destroy a Giants defense that gets torn apart by tight ends.  I am a little worried about Foles under center so that will limit my ownership a bit.  If Wentz was still under center I would be tempted to hit the lock button.  However, Ertz is in a great matchup and Foles will likely be looking his way early and often to get the jitters out.

Vernon Davis ($3,900) – Like I said above, I’m not in love with any cheap tight end this week which makes me lean to paying up at the position.  However, Davis saw 7 targets last week and should continue to see them this week.  Although the matchup isn’t the greatest, I will have some shares as there isn’t anybody else down here that stands out.  Let’s just hope he capitalizes on his targets this week.

Also consider:

Late Week Additions: 

Defense

Here are our favorite Defenses in play this weekend:

Jaguars ($4,500)

Saints ($3,900)

Vikings ($3,500)

Redskins ($2,800)

 


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