2018 Career Builder – Draftkings Picks

Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!

Cash Core Picks

Charles Howell III ($8,000) –  CHIII is an absolute course horse and an absolute steal at this price.  He is a guy that you must play early on in the year before fatigue and injuries settle in. CHIII has 3 top 15’s in his last 5 tries here so he obviously loves the course. Similar to last week, you load up on Howell as a cash game lock in the West Coast Swing as he is a cut maker early on before fatigue settles in.

Chez Reavie ($8,800) – This is another player that I always play at this price point.  Reavie is a ball-striking animal and brings the consistency you need.  He may not win you the tournament, but does well enough to make your cash lineups hit by getting through the cut.  Reavie has finished top 20 the last 2 years so he can go low here.  In his last 36 rounds, Reavie ranks 10th in my model by finishing 7th in BoB%, 8th in SG: Putting, and 3rd in GIR%. He may not be the longest off the tee but he sure is accurate.

Brendan Steele ($8,900) – Another Cash Core lock on the west coast swing, Steele has two top 20’s in his last 3 tries at the CareerBuilder Challenge.  Steele also ranks 11th in my custom model coming in at 5th in SG:T2G and SG:OTT, 7th in GIR%, and 30th in SG:APP.  Steele will be an easy click for my cash lineups.

Bud Cauley ($8,400) – For Cash games, I like to keep a balanced lineup in most cases.  Cauley will round out the balanced core this week.  Cauley has back to back top 15’s at the CareerBuilder Challenge and ranks 4th in the custom model.  Cauley ranks 13th for SG:T2G and SG:OTT, 14th for SG:APP, and 31st in BoB%.

Others to consider: Webb Simpson, Jon Rahm

GPP Core Plays

Ryan Armour ($7,400) – Armour is priced with Kevin Na and Party Marty (Laird), and I think he will be the lowest owned of that group. Armour has had a great start to the 2018 season posting a win at Sanderson, and top 20 finishes at Shriners and Tournament of Champions. Armour ranks 8th in the field over his past 50 rounds for SG: App, 12th in SG: T2G and 14th SG: Ball Striking. Armour had a T66 finish here last year but his form is coming around nicely and I want to roster Armour before he gets too popular.

David Lingmerth ($7,800) – Lingmerth has sneaky good course history here, having T32, 2, T24, T78 and T2 his last 5 appearances at Career Builder. Lingmerth only has 2 tournaments he has played in the 2018 season so I believe that will help keep ownership down. He finished 17th at RSM and 57th at Shriners. Over his past 50 rounds he ranks 10th in the field in DK points, 8th in SG: short game and 8th in putting. The one concern with Lingmerth is his approach game, but with being a good putter we are looking to see him sink some medium to longer range putts throughout the weekend.

Kevin Streelman ($7,500) – Streelman was our guy early on in the season last year and we will be going right back to him starting here in Cali. In the last 50 rounds Streelman ranks 7th SG: T2G, 11th SG: ball striking and 20th in SG: approach. Streelman is a solid ball striker and one of the safer picks due to staying out of trouble off the tee and approaching the green. We just need him to get the putter rolling this weekend.

Others to consider:  Kevin Chappell, Phil Mickelson

Contrarian Darts

Tom Hoge ($7,000) – Hoge has only played here once and missed the cut that time, but outside of this meager course history, I think he makes for a great salary-saving option this week. Not only did he finish 3rd last week, but he also somehow dropped in price since then. Over his last 12 rounds, he is 5th in both SG:APP and BoB, while clocking in at a very solid 9th in SG:T2G. He has also made the cut in 4 straight, and I think he makes another one here.

JJ Spaun ($7,900) – His price feels high to me, especially since he is above both Chappell and Sneds, but that’s why you can get him at an ownership discount this week. He is my top overall golfer in the FNGC model I put together as he ranks 3rd in BoB, 3rd in SG:T2G, 3rd in SG:APP, and 4th in SG on P5’s over his last 12. He also ranks 16th in Bogey Avoidance over this same period. Needless to say, this is all very impressive. Oh, he also made the cut when he played in this event last year (the only time he has), so he does have some course history as well.

Austin Cook ($8,700) – Cook continues to play very solid golf as he had a top-20 finish last week, and I definitely want to keep riding him during this streak. Over his last 12, he ranks 2nd in BoB, 9th in SG on Par 5’s, and 17th in SG:T2G. Cook is another one that seems overpriced, but again, I feel like that will provide ownership arbitrage against some of the other trendy names in this price range.

Others to consider: Lucas Glover, Russell Knox

One and Done Picks

Dan’s OAD: Chez Reavie

Brandon’s OAD: Jon Rahm

Miles’ OAD: Phil Mickelson

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