2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open – Draftkings Picks

Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!

Brandon’s Cash Core Picks

Brendan Steele ($7,800) – I feel like I am just copying and pasting my cash core picks on the west coast swing (AZ counts as west coast, right?) for the most part. Steele has the third best course history at WMPO yet is priced at $7,800. Steele has made his last 5 cuts here with 4 top 20’s in that span.  Steele ranks 8th in SG:T2G and SG:OTT, 13th in GIR% and 38th in SG:APP.  As long as he can continue his excellent ball striking, Steele should make cut which is what you need in cash.

Webb Simpson ($8,900) – Simpson seems to have finally got the putter going which is excellent news for this ball striking machine.  Although his chipping yips seem to still haunt him, these easier to hit greens should minimize the damage.  Simpson has 3 top 15’s here in 3 tries to go with a runner up last year.  I like Simpson’s chances of making it through the cut for cash.

Matt Kuchar ($8,400) – What does Kuch have to do to be priced where he should be.  He seems to always be priced mid-range when he constantly produces top 20 results.  Kuchar placed 9th here last year to go with a 30th 3 years ago.  When you get a quality golfer who is mispriced, you take the value in cash.  I expect his ownership to be extremely high which means if he misses the cut in Cash a good portion of the field is also dealing with a 5/6 roster.

Zach Johnson ($7,700) – These four golfers are a LOCK for me.  I can’t believe how bad the Draftkings pricing was this week.  If these guys aren’t all over 50% I will be completely flabbergasted.  ZJ has 3 straight top 15’s at this event.  I don’t think I need to go into stats as this is simply a huge misprice and a lock for cash.

Others to consider: Charley Hoffman, Daniel Berger, Hideki Matsuyama

Dan’s GPP Core Plays

Austin Cook ($8,300) – Cook won his first PGA Tour event to start the 2018 season with a winning score of -21 to win the RSM Classic. Cook is making his debut to the Waste Management and this is going to be a theme with my picks this week, as first time players always have lower ownership due to the *unknowns* in a sport with very high variance.  Over his last 50 rounds he ranks 18th in DK scoring, 14th in total SG, 13th SG: ARG and 10th SG: Putting.

Xander Schaufelle ($7,400) – Xander is making his first appearance at Waste Management, but the young gun is no stranger to scoring. He won the Greenbriar last season and the Tour Championship against the best of the best. He is not a household name yet, and I want to target players like this early in the season prior to the majors. He ranks 20th in DK scoring, 2nd SG: OTT and 17th in SG: putting over his last 50 rounds.

Robert Garrigus ($7,000) – So here with have a guy who went to college in Scottsdale and has a T11, T53, T36, MC at the Waste Management in 4 appearances. Garrigus ranks 23rd SG: Tee to Green, 14th in SG: Ball Striking and 8th in SG: Approach. His struggles revolve around his flat stick, and with easier greens this week I am willing to take the chance with him. Garrigus also finished 8th at the Farmers Insurance last weekend, so he is entering with some confidence this week. Tread lately in your GPP’s with Garrigus, this is not a guy I recommend anchoring all of your lineups around.

Brandon Harkins ($6,800) – Here we have a no name player with some great talent. Harkins made his way to the PGA Tour via the Canadian and LatinAmerica Tour. Harkins has had an incredible start to the 2018 season posting 6 top 25 finishes out of his 8 appearances and only one missed cut. He ranks 16th in DK Scoring, 29th in total SG and 25th SG: Around the Green. I would expect Harkins to be in the 5-10% ownership range due to his recent success.

Others to consider: Shane Lowry, Daniel Berger, William McGirt

Contrarian Darts

Jason Kokrak ($7,100) – Kokrak has only made 2 of 5 cuts here at the Phoenix Open but he is in very good form coming into this tournament. Kokrak over his last 50 rounds is ranked 25th in DK scoring, 21st in SG: Tee to Green, 17th in Ball Striking and 17th SG: Off the Tee. Kokrak has started the 2018 season placing in the top 25 in 4 of his 7 starts.

Peter Uihlein (6,800) – Uihlein is the ultimate GPP play that offers upside at low ownership. He is the son of the CEO of Titleist, was one of the top ranked golfers in college while attending Oklahoma State, and played over in Europe to get some experience prior to playing on the PGA Tour. He has placed 5th, 10th and 17th place in 3 tournaments this season but also missed 3 cuts. He is a scorer ranking 49th in DK scoring within this field and I will note he is making his first appearance in the WM Open this week.

Martin Laird (6,800) – With a nickname like Party Marty, how could anything go wrong on the 16th hole for him this week. Laird has very good history at TPC Scottsdale, finshing T7, T41, T5 and T19 his last four appearances. He is a great ball striker that cannot putt, I will be taking some chances on him this week in GPP contests.

Others to consider: James Hahn, Russell Knox, Kevin Chappell

One and Done Picks

Dan’s OAD: Ryan Moore (early week pick) / Austin Cook (late week pick)

Brandon’s OAD: Hideki Matsuyama

Miles’ OAD: Zach Johnson

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