Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!
Brandon’s Cash Core Picks
Charley Hoffman ($7,700) – Hoffman missed the cut last year but recorded 4 straight made cuts prior with two of those being top 15’s. Hoffman should be priced 1k higher in this field. The fact that Poulter is 1,500 more than Hoffman is atrocious. Hoffman has back to back top 15’s at the Masters and API so his form is there.
Jason Dufner ($7,800) – The 7k range is juicy. Dufner is simply too cheap as well. He has 4 straight made cut here and is a Pete Dye specialist. His form isn’t the greatest but he should find his groove here.
Webb Simpson ($9,400) – Simpson is playing like a different golfer this year. The greens aren’t destroying him like they used to. Simpson is also a cut specialist at the RBC Heritage with 4 straight made cuts. A local boy, Simpson should know this course like the back of his hand.
Kevin Kisner ($8,700) – For cash lineups, I like to stick to solid golfers that can make cuts. Kisner fits the mold in this tournament as he has also made 4 straight cuts at Harbour Town. There is a reason some of these golfers keep coming back. They love the Pete Dye design and don’t need power to succeed here.
Dan’s GPP Core Plays
Zach Johnson ($7,900) – This course screams ZJ with the layout and shorter distance with an emphasis around the green. ZJ keeps it accurate off the tee and will strategically place his ball throughout the course. He ranks top 25 in the field in SG: Approach, GIR, Good Drives and Bogey Avoidance over his last 36.
Jason Kokrak ($7,400) – Kokrak has had very solid success at Harbour Town placing top 20 in 3 of his 5 appearances. Kokrak ranks 10th in my model, ranking top 15 in SG: T2G, Good Drives, SG: BS and GIR over his last 36 rounds. It will come down to the putter this week for Kokrak.
Kevin Streelman ($7,300) – Streelman is my favorite play in this price range and he ranks very high in my model, coming in at 5th overall. Streelman ranks #1 in the entire field for GIR, Bogey Avoidance and Good Drives %. He also ranks 4th in SG: T2G over his past 36 rounds. I am locking in Streelman this week for my GPP core.
James Hahn ($7,500) – Hahn has made 3 of 5 cuts here at Harbour Town which is not good, but his recent stats align perfectly with the strengths needed to play well here. Hahn ranks 7th in SG: App, 19th in GIR, 13th in SG: BS, 15 in SG: T2G over his past 36 rounds. He is in great form and I think a great candidate to contend here this week.
Others to consider: Chris Kirk
William McGirt ($7,600) – While McGirt only ranks 31st in my past 12 round model, he is trending in the right direction as he is +14 spots in comparison with the past 24. He also has incredible recent course history as he is 4/4 in making cuts over his past 4 years with 3 top-10’s in this time. None of his stats are striking, but they are all decent, so I will definitely be taking several shots with Dirt McGirt.
Ryan Moore ($8,500) – Moore hasn’t played here since 2008 when he missed the cut, so I think his lack of CH and a plethora of other tasty options within the same price range will make him go overlooked. Either way, he ranks 19th in my 12-round model and has a bunch of recent high finishes with a 5th at the Arnold Palmer and a 9th at the Genesis.
Ian Poulter ($9,300) – Poulter had that incredible win at Houston to get into the Master’s, but then had some struggles there as he only finished 44th. Between not really flashing there and seeing a big price hike here, I think he will be under-rostered. He is 4/4 in making the cut here with a pair of top-20 finishes, while posting exceptionally solid recent form over his last 12. During this period, he ranks 2nd in BoB, 5th in SG:APP, 6th in SG:BS, 8th in GIRs Gained, and 13th in SG:T2G.
Others to consider: Xander Schauffele, Sean O’Hair
Miles’s Don’t Eat the Chalk Pick
After last week where I talked about how I wasn’t going to go anywhere near BDC due to his high ownership, I decided to add a new weekly chalk pick that I refuse to touch since avoiding bad chalk is just as important as taking low-owned flyers.
Luke Donald ($7,700) – Donald has unreal course history here with 5 top-3’s since 2010, but the guy’s recent and long-term form is just bad. At some point, I feel like his form will catch up to him here, and I’m saying that will happen this year.
One and Done Picks
Brandon’s OAD: Ryan Moore
Miles’ OAD: Toss-up between Casey and Kuch for me, leaning Casey currently.
Bet(s) of the Week
Just as an FYI, Dan and Brandon use Bovada while Miles uses Nitrogen.