2018 Wells Fargo Championship Picks

Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!

Brandon’s Cash Core Picks

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,400) – This is an absurd price for Mats.  He has a strong history at Quail.  This makes sense as it is a ball striker’s course.  Mats has made 4 straight cuts along with 3 straight top 20’s.  I will be loading up on Mats this weekend.

Tony Finau ($8,700)  As long as there isn’t a Par 3 tournament before Thursday, I will be severely overweight on Finau.  He has the mold for this course as he has made 3 straight cuts here.  He is also in top notch form with a 24th at Shell and a 10th at The Masters.

Francesco Molinari ($7,400) – Seriously, I could play a lineup with everyone priced at $7,400.  Molinari is simply too cheap.  He has a 17th and a 2nd place at Quail Hollow.  He has also made his last 4 cuts in 2018.  Look to Molinari to round out your lineups.

Gary Woodland ($7,400) – These are the courses I look to for Woodland.  He has 5 straight made cuts here with a 4th and 4 top 25’s.  Woodland is a premiere ball striker and should return to form here.  I am going to look past the recent Missed cuts as this course suits him better.

Also Consider:

Dan’s GPP Core Plays

Tommy Fleetwood ($9,000) – FleetGOAT has everything from ball striking, good drives, and strokes gained tee to green. Tommy ranks 5th in SG: Tee to Green, 10th in SG: Ball Striking and 8th in Good Drive % over his last 36 rounds. He is my favorite golfer per dollar this week and he should be priced up with the top tier players. I think he goes under owned relative to his talent, do not avoid him even if he gets chalky.

Keegan Bradley ($7,800) – I can already see the cringing with people reading Keegan as my pick this week. Keegan has improved his short game and ranks in the top 15 in my model this week. He ranks 1st in SG: Approach, 2nd in SG Ball Striking, 3rd in SG: Tee to Green and 8th in Good Drives. I am lock and loading him in my GPP lineups this week with the upside at lower ownership.

Joaquin Niemann ($6,800) – Yes I am writing up the rookie after his big finish at the Valero (T6). Joaquin ranks 31st in my model, ranking top 30 in SG: App, Ball Striking, Tee to Green, Bogey Avoidance, and Par 4 scoring 450+. At his price he just needs to make the cut, use him for salary relief to beef up the rest of your lineup.

Kevin Streelman ($7,200) – Streelman is my go to week to week when he is mispriced. He ranks 6th in my model, ranking 2nd in Par 4 scoring and Good Drives, 4th in Bogey Avoidance, 10th in SG Tee to Green and 12th SG Ball Striking. Insert him in your core.

Others to consider: Rickie Fowler, Ryan Moore, Alex Noren, Bryson Dechambeau

Contrarian Darts

BDC ($8,000) – I think that BDC’s price tag will cause him to go overlooked here since you can get a lot of good players for less. Either way, his numbers over his last 12 rounds are superlative as he ranks 4th in my model. He’s first overall in SG:BS and Approach, 4th in BoB, Good Drives, and 200+ yard Proximity, and 5th in SG:T2G. I could go on, but you get the idea.

Adam Scott ($7,300) – Scott crushed a lot of excellent lines for me at Valero, and I definitely think that people will avoid him due also getting burned. While he clearly cannot putt worth a damn, he is wayyyyyyy too talented to be priced all the way down here, and his ball-striking should really help him here. Even after his blow-up, he still ranks top-12 in my model this week as he stands 10th overall in SG:T2G and GIRs Gained. He also has a plethora of other solid numbers, so I’m really hoping he turns it around here.

Tyrell Hatton ($7,400) – Hatton seems to do well in strong fields, and he is insanely cheap for a world top-20 golfer. His recent form isn’t that impressive as he MCed at The Heritage, but I believe he will get back on track here, and we know that he can finish high as shown by his pair of 3rd place finishes at Dubai and Mexico this year.

Brooks Koepka ($8,600) – Wrist be damned, I’m probably going to have Brooks on every single line I make this week. When he is healthy and on his game, he’s one of the best in the world, and I just love rooting for him. This week, you get him at a major discount and relatively low ownership compared to what he should be because I think people will hesitate rostering him due to his wrist.

Others to consider: Streelman, Hadley (probably won’t be as contrarian as I would like), Beau Hossler

Miles’s Don’t Eat the Chalk Pick

Here’s my weekly chalk pick that I refuse to touch since avoiding bad chalk is just as important as taking low-owned flyers (if not more so).

Patrick Reed ($9,700) – This guy is playing great golf right now and has good course history, so he will be chalk city this week. As always, it’s going to be dangerous fading someone like this, but I would much rather take Mats @ $9,400 and half the ownership.

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