U.S. Open Draftkings Picks

Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!

Brandon’s Cash Core Picks

Tommy Fleetwood ($8,100) – A US Open with no Americans in my cash core.  This is unusual!  Fleetwood checks the box as the ball striker I am looking for.  This course is extremely long so ball striking is a must.  FleetGOAT is my go-to guy and I will not back off here.  Fleetwood ranks 13th in SG:T2G and 17th in GIR%.  If he can keep out of trouble he should be just fine.

Paul Casey ($8,000) – I’m a sucker for Casey as well.  Every major I lean to these steady hitters.  Casey ranks 9th in SG: App, 14th in SG: T2G, and 30th in GIR%.  I will continue to lean on his ballstriking talent at a reduced price and hopefully ownership as others worry about his injuries.

Emiliano Grillo ($7,100) – Grillo is an absolute misprice.  Grillo is 7th in my model.  He ranks 10th in SG:T2G, 13th in SG:APP and Bogey Avoidance, and 5th in SG: Scrambling.

Justin Rose ($9,900) – I don’t know if I have to write much to convince you to play Rose. Rose literally checks every single box.  He ranks 4th in SG:T2G and SG: SG, 8th in SG:APP and 10th in GIR%.  Just.Play.Rose.

Also Consider:

Dan’s GPP Core Plays

Rickie Fowler ($10,200) – Fowler ranks 8th in my model after sorting through courses playing over 7,400 yards. Rickie is seeking his first major and after proposing to his girlfriend Allison I see this as a big relief and he has talked about his love for Shinnecock. He ranks top 10 in the field in Good Drives, Bogey Avoidance and Par 4 Scoring on holes over 450 yards. He also gets the morning tee time draw for Thursday which will be ideal with winds but more important receptive greens after the rain on Wednesday.

Marc Leishman ($7,800) – Leish also gets the favorable morning tee time Thursday to take advantage of the receptive greens and lower wind on Friday afternoon. Leish ranks 20th in my model and specifically ranks top 10 in the field in Par 3 scoring over 225 yards, Bogey Avoidance and ranking top 20 in Scrambling and Par 4 scoring 450-500 yards. He should come in the 5-10% range.

Francesco Molinari ($7,600) – Molinari ranks 5th overall in my model this week when taking into account courses over 7,400 yards which is surprising. He ranks top 10 in the field in Good Drives, SG: Ball Striking, GIR gained, SG: T2G and Approach. He is my favorite value play this week but unfortunately gets the Thursday PM draw but I expect his ownership to come around 5%.

Charley Hoffman ($7,200) – Hoffman has been having just an OK year but his stats are very solid. He ranks top 30 in the field in SG: OTT, Par 4 scoring 450-500 yards, GIR gained, SG: Ball Striking and Bogey Avoidance. He gets the favorable morning tee time on Thursday and I think he comes in the 2 to 5% range in ownership this week. Love this value this week.

Others to consider:

Contrarian Darts

Jimmy Walker ($7,300) – While I love going balanced this week, I definitely have a soft spot for Walker. Not only does he have a favorable tee time, no one is talking about him at this price, which is a travesty. He ranks 4th overall in my model with an especially strong showing in SG:APP (also 4th), SG:T2G (6th), and Bogey Avoidance (9th). I’m loading up.

Branden Grace ($8,400) – FNGC has his projected ownership around 11%, and they have been reasonably accurate, but I won’t be surprised if we are closer to the 8% range due to all of the other appealing options in this range. Either way, he’s 19th in my model with a bunch of good numbers across the board including 11th in BA, 14th in GIRs Gained, and 21st in Good Drives. He also fits in well with my plan for making a lot of balanced lines.

Ian Poulter ($7,300) – Poulter is another cheap guy who has a favorable tee time and who seems to just be flying under the radar. He also seems to excel at difficult courses as he gains almost a full stroke per round on difficult courses per FNGC. He doesn’t fair all that well on Poa though, so that’s definitely a knock against him.

Others to consider: Kuch

Miles’s Don’t Eat the Chalk Pick

Here’s my weekly chalk pick that I refuse to touch since avoiding bad chalk is just as important as taking low-owned flyers (if not more so).

Webb Simpson

 


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