PGA Picks – Members ONLY

Each week we will break down the tournament field by pricing tiers and give our favorite cash & GPP Draftkings plays. Brandon, Miles and Dan have also started picking our One and Done’s in this article. We use advanced stats from FantasyNational.com to determine our plays of the week that correspond to the course and history of the event. We will continue to update our picks if news changes prior to the Draftkings contest start time on Thursday mornings. Be sure to check the weather updates as well on our Course Preview article, we will also be updating the article with any necessary changes up until lineup lock. Cheers!

Brandon’s Cash Core Picks

Brendan Steele ($7,600) – Steele has the top course history in the field and is priced $7,600.  This is a no brainer, lock him into your cash lineups.  He recent form has been less than impressive but look for him to right the ship.

Webb Simpson ($9,100) – Simpson has made it into Dan’s GPP Core Plays.  I am locking Simpson into all game types.  Simpson is firing on all cylinders and has a good chance to bink his 2nd victory of the season here.

Daniel Berger ($8,900) – In his two appearances here, Berger has a 2nd and 5th place finish here.  Berger righted the ship last week at the US Open and will look to continue his dominance here.

Charley Hoffman ($8,700) – Hoffman is 4 for 4 in cuts here the last 5 years with 2 top 10s and all better than 26th.  Hoffman also comes into the Travelers in good form finishing 20th last week at the US Open.

Also Consider:

Dan’s GPP Core Plays

Webb Simpson ($9,100) – Webb is now turning the corner with the putter and it has been long enough to say his putting has VASTLY improved. He is a solid ball striker that ranks 2nd overall in my model over the past 36 rounds and applying Pete Dye & courses under 7,200 yards. He ranks 1st in BoB, 4th in Par 4 scoring, 5th in Bogey Avoidance, 9th in SG: T2G and 12th in GIR gained. He may be my highest owned player this week.

Ryan Moore ($9,000) – Ryan Moore has seen success here in Cromwell and he ranks 8th overall in my model. He ranks 2nd in Bogey Avoidance, 4th in SG: T2G, 3rd in Good Drives, 11th in Scrambling, 20th in GIRs gained and 7th overall in SG: Ball Striking. He has finished T5, T7 and T17 here in 3 appearances.

Emilliano Grillo ($7,700) – Grillo is coming off a chalky missed cut at the US Open and I am just fine with that. I actually prefer the guys that didnt have to grind out 4 days of carnage at Shinnecock and get an early start to the Travelers. Grillo ranks 16th overall in my model, and ranks 1st in SG: Approach, 4th in Ball Striking, 6th overall in SG: T2G and 11th in Good Drives. I think his ownership this week drops because of the MC last week and its a perfect time to use him.

Si Woo Kim ($7,500) – si WOOOOO kim just destroys Pete Dye courses, it is a fact. He ranks 3rd overall in my model and comes in 1st SG: T2G, 2nd SG: OTT, 3rd in BoB, 5th in Ball Striking and 10th in Par 4 Scoring. I think people will gravitate towards him this week but at this price I am not fading for that reason.

Others to consider: Keegan, Xander, Steele, Jim Furyk

Contrarian Darts

CT Pan ($7,600) – Pan has made the cut in the last 5 tournaments he has played in and has finished better each time, which culminated in his 18th at the St. Jude. Between that and his pair of high finishes here – 25th and 8th – he might not go as under the radar as I would like (especially since he tweeted out that this is his favorite course). Either way, I’m still going to have exposure as he ranks 3rd in BoB Gained, 4th in GIRs Gained, and 16th in SG:T2G.

Joel Dahmen ($7,200) – Before missing the cut at St. Jude, Dahmen had 3 straight top-20 finishes, so his recent form is very, very good (he ranks 4th in my model this week). While he doesn’t have a lot of CH here, he made the cut last year, but finished a fairly abysmal 62nd – I’m definitely hoping that he improves this year. Either way, he is 2nd in SG:APP, 3rd in SG:BS, 4th in SG:T2G, 9th in GIRs Gained, and 12th in strokes gained on Par 4’s.

Jordan Spieth ($10,600) – There’s no guarantee where his mental game is right now after missing the last two cuts, but this is exactly why I think you can get last year’s champ at an ownership discount this week. Overall, he is still one of the best golfers in the world, and he ranks 21st in my model this week with 15th in BoB Gained, 19th in GIRs Gained, and 20th in SG:T2G.

Others to consider: Sneds, Knox, Vaughn Taylor

Miles’s Don’t Eat the Chalk Pick

Here’s my weekly chalk pick that I refuse to touch since avoiding bad chalk is just as important as taking low-owned flyers (if not more so). This is generally a very risky decision since chalk is chalk for a reason, so proceed with caution.

Brooks Koepka ($11,300) – Don’t get me wrong, I love Brooks and had plenty of him last week, but I think he might have some trouble focusing this week after winning the US freaking Open. If it turns out that a lot of people will be off of him, I’ll load back on as he is overall #1 in my model this week.